Saturday, September 5, 2009

Y-o-Y quarterly GDP growth of India (2009-10)

Based on the data on Year-on-Year (Y-o-Y) quarterly growth of GDP (at constant 1999-2000 prices) over the period 1997-98 to 2008-09 my predictions for the Y-o-Y quarterly growth for 2009-10 (at constant 1999-2000 prices) are as follows:
Forecast (%) 95% prediction interval
Q1 6.0 (3.1, 8.9)
Q2 6.9 (3.1, 10.7)
Q3 7.2 (3.0, 11.5)
Q4 7.8 (3.2, 12.4)


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