Growth Stories

A snapshot of the past and present:

                                       Per Capita GDP (US$)        
                        1964    2013    CAGR
USA                 3574     53042   5.5%    
India                  118      1499   5.2%
Argentina          1166   14715    5.2%
Botswana            71.8   7315     9.6%
China                  84.6   6807     9.2%

Is a change of approach required?

Notes: 1. India and Argentina have very similar land areas
          2. Botswana is considered to be one of the safest countries in
             Africa
          3. PGPM of IIMA started in 1964

Thank you.

Y-o-Y quarterly GDP growth of India (2009-10)

Based on the data on Year-on-Year (Y-o-Y) quarterly growth of GDP (at constant 1999-2000 prices) over the period 1997-98 to 2008-09 my predictions for the Y-o-Y quarterly growth for 2009-10 (at constant 1999-2000 prices) are as follows:

Forecast (%) 95% prediction interval

Q1 6.0 (3.1, 8.9)

Q2 6.9 (3.1, 10.7)

Q3 7.2 (3.0, 11.5)

Q4 7.8 (3.2, 12.4)