Thursday, April 28, 2011

In his article "Optimum Strategies for Creativity and Longevity" Dr. Sing Lin gives an interesting actuarial table of Retirement Age and Age at Death which is reproduced below:
Retirement Age
Age at Death
49.9
86
51.2
85.3
52.5
84.6
53.8
83.9
55.1
83.2
56.4
82.5
57.2
81.4
58.3
80
59.2
78.5
60.1
76.8
61
74.5
62.1
71.8
63.1
69.3
64.1
67.9
65.2
66.8

A quadratic regression model can be nicely fitted to this data:

Age of Death = - 121.2 + 8.335 Retirement Age - 0.08394 Retirement Age**2

S = 0.713363 R-Sq = 99.0% R-Sq(adj) = 98.8%

It seems that one should plan to retire by 58 or 60 to benefit from the fruits of his /her hard work.

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